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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al Ahly v Smouha SC: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Egypt · Cairo International Stadium

Al Ahly

WWLWW
1–0
FT
Al Ahly 70%Draw 22%Smouha SC 8% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.46
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Ahly to win ✓70% · @1.38
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓92% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.37

Al Ahly vs Smouha SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al Ahly welcome Smouha SC to Cairo International Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 3 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Al Ahly are 2nd, among the top four, on 20 points after 8 matches; Smouha SC are 9th (upper half) with 11.

Current form

Al Ahly, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Masr, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Smouha SC, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Asyut Petrol, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Al Ahly, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for Smouha SC.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended Smouha SC 0–1 Al Ahly.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahly 1.8 xG, Smouha SC 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahly 70%, draw 22%, Smouha SC 8%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahly 1–0 Smouha SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Ahly70%fair 1.43 · @1.38
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.00
Smouha SC8%fair 12.20 · @8.40
2.28Expected goals
1.81Al Ahly xG
0.46Smouha SC xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–017%
0–010%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Al Ahly 1.8 – 0.5 Smouha SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Ahly to win ✓70%1.431.38
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓92%1.091.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.841.57
Draw no betAl Ahly (draw no bet) ✓90%1.12–
Asian handicapAl Ahly -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.471.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreAl Ahly to score first ✓72%1.40–
Half-time resultAl Ahly ahead at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Ahly / FT Al Ahly ✗45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19%5.37–

Recent results

Al Ahly – last 6

WWLWWW
28 Aug@ Masr2–0W
23 Augvs Enppi3–2W
19 Aug@ Barcelona1–2L
20 May@ AL Masry2–0W
5 Mayvs Enppi3–0W
1 May@ Zamalek SC3–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Smouha SC – last 6

DLLLLL
26 Augvs Asyut Petrol0–0D
22 Aug@ AL Masry0–1L
20 May@ Pyramids FC1–2L
5 Mayvs Zamalek SC0–1L
27 Aprvs AL Masry0–1L
22 Aprvs Ceramica Cleopatra0–2L
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Feb 2026Smouha SC v Al Ahly0–1
Al Ahly vs Smouha SC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyramids FC8800+1524
2Al Ahly8620+920
3Zamalek SC8611+719
4Ceramica Cleopatra8602+718
5Al Ittihad8422+314
6Future FC8413+213
7El Mokawloon8323+311
8National Bank of Egypt8323011
9Smouha SC8323011
10Masr8323-111
11Petrojet8233-29
12AL Masry8233-29
13Olympic El Qanah8152-28
14El Geish8224-68
15Wadi Degla8143-27
16Enppi8215-57
17Ghazl El Mehalla8215-77
18Asyut Petrol8134-46
19Abu Qair Semad8116-94
20El Gouna FC8035-63

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Ahly vs Smouha SC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Al Ahly vs Smouha SC?

On our numbers Al Ahly have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Smouha SC 8%.

How many goals will there be in Al Ahly vs Smouha SC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Ahly vs Smouha SC?

Our predicted score is Al Ahly 1–0 Smouha SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Al Ahly vs Smouha SC?

Al Ahly vs Smouha SC (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.