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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

El Mokawloon v Al Ahly: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Egypt · Arab Contractors Stadium
1–1
FT

Al Ahly

WWWLW
El Mokawloon 11%Draw 22%Al Ahly 67% Expected goals 0.62 – 1.90
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Ahly to win ✗67% · @1.40
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.54

El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 9 September the Premier League brings El Mokawloon against Al Ahly at Arab Contractors Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, El Mokawloon are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Al Ahly are 2nd (among the top four) with 20.

Current form

El Mokawloon, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over El Gouna FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Al Ahly, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Smouha SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Al Ahly, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for El Mokawloon.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended El Mokawloon 1–3 Al Ahly.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give El Mokawloon 0.6 xG, Al Ahly 1.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – El Mokawloon 11%, draw 22%, Al Ahly 67%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Mokawloon 0–1 Al Ahly. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

El Mokawloon11%fair 9.44 · @8.10
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.95
Al Ahly67%fair 1.48 · @1.40
2.52Expected goals
0.62El Mokawloon xG
1.90Al Ahly xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–215%
1–19%
0–39%
1–29%
0–08%

From our goals model: El Mokawloon 0.6 – 1.9 Al Ahly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Ahly to win ✗67%1.481.40
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓89%1.121.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.931.57
Draw no betAl Ahly (draw no bet)86%1.16–
Asian handicapAl Ahly -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreAl Ahly to score first ✗69%1.44–
Half-time resultAl Ahly ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Ahly / FT Al Ahly ✗44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.54–

Recent results

El Mokawloon – last 6

WLLWDD
2 Sep@ El Gouna FC1–0W
27 Augvs AL Masry2–3L
22 Aug@ El Geish0–1L
29 Mayvs Future FC3–1W
18 Mayvs Wadi Degla1–1D
13 May@ Haras El Hodood0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Al Ahly – last 6

WWWLWW
3 Sepvs Smouha SC1–0W
28 Aug@ Masr2–0W
23 Augvs Enppi3–2W
19 Aug@ Barcelona1–2L
20 May@ AL Masry2–0W
5 Mayvs Enppi3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Mar 2026El Mokawloon v Al Ahly1–3
El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyramids FC8800+1524
2Al Ahly8620+920
3Zamalek SC8611+719
4Ceramica Cleopatra8602+718
5Al Ittihad8422+314
6Future FC8413+213
7El Mokawloon8323+311
8National Bank of Egypt8323011
9Smouha SC8323011
10Masr8323-111
11Petrojet8233-29
12AL Masry8233-29
13Olympic El Qanah8152-28
14El Geish8224-68
15Wadi Degla8143-27
16Enppi8215-57
17Ghazl El Mehalla8215-77
18Asyut Petrol8134-46
19Abu Qair Semad8116-94
20El Gouna FC8035-63

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly?

On our numbers El Mokawloon have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Ahly 67%.

How many goals will there be in El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly?

Our predicted score is El Mokawloon 0–1 Al Ahly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly?

El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Arab Contractors Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.