Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.96
Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 12 October the Premier League brings Smouha SC against Ghazl El Mehalla at Alexandria Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Smouha SC are 9th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Ghazl El Mehalla are 17th (lower half) with 7.
Current form
Smouha SC, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over El Geish, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Ghazl El Mehalla, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Abu Qair Semad, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Smouha SC 0.9 xG, Ghazl El Mehalla 0.6 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Smouha SC 45%, draw 27%, Ghazl El Mehalla 27%.
Lower-risk option: Smouha SC or draw (73%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Smouha SC or draw (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Smouha SC 0–0 Ghazl El Mehalla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Smouha SC45%fair 2.21 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.60
Ghazl El Mehalla27%fair 3.66 · @3.80
1.50Expected goals
0.90Smouha SC xG
0.60Ghazl El Mehalla xG
42%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–020%
0–113%
1–112%
2–09%
2–15%
From our goals model: Smouha SC 0.9 – 0.6 Ghazl El Mehalla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Smouha SC to win✓
45%
2.21
2.25
Double chance
Smouha SC or draw✓
73%
1.38
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.44
Draw no bet
Smouha SC (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Ghazl El Mehalla +1 (Asian handicap)
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Smouha SC to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
4.96
–
Recent results
Smouha SC – last 6
WLLDLL
14 Sep
@ El Geish
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs Ceramica Cleopatra
0–2
L
3 Sep
@ Al Ahly
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Asyut Petrol
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ AL Masry
0–1
L
20 May
@ Pyramids FC
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ghazl El Mehalla – last 6
DLLDLL
8 Oct
vs Abu Qair Semad
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Zamalek SC
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ National Bank of Egypt
1–3
L
1 Sep
vs Enppi
0–0
D
27 Aug
@ Future FC
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Pyramids FC
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smouha SC and Ghazl El Mehalla.
What is the prediction for Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Our pick is Smouha SC or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
On our numbers Smouha SC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ghazl El Mehalla 27%.
How many goals will there be in Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Our predicted score is Smouha SC 0–0 Ghazl El Mehalla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandria Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
