Value bet: El Gouna FC to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Ittihad to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.86
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Tuesday 13 October: Al Ittihad v El Gouna FC in the Premier League, played at Alexandria Stadium. In the table, Al Ittihad are 5th, upper half, on 14 points after 8 matches; El Gouna FC are 20th (in the drop zone) with 3.
Current form
Al Ittihad, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Wadi Degla, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
El Gouna FC, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to El Mokawloon, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al Ittihad, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for El Gouna FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ittihad 1.0 xG, El Gouna FC 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ittihad 44%, draw 27%, El Gouna FC 29%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: El Gouna FC to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ittihad 1–0 El Gouna FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ittihad44%fair 2.28 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @2.62
El Gouna FC29%fair 3.39 · @3.80
1.80Expected goals
1.03Al Ittihad xG
0.77El Gouna FC xG
45%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Al Ittihad 1.0 – 0.8 El Gouna FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ittihad to win✓
44%
2.28
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.55
Draw no bet
Al Ittihad (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
El Gouna FC +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Al Ittihad to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.86
–
Recent results
Al Ittihad – last 6
LWWWLD
8 Oct
vs Wadi Degla
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ AL Masry
2–0
W
7 Sep
vs Asyut Petrol
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Abu Qair Semad
2–0
W
28 Aug
vs Ceramica Cleopatra
1–3
L
21 Aug
@ Zamalek SC
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
El Gouna FC – last 6
LLLLDD
8 Oct
@ El Mokawloon
0–2
L
16 Sep
vs Petrojet
1–2
L
9 Sep
@ Pyramids FC
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs El Mokawloon
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Olympic El Qanah
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Future FC
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ittihad and El Gouna FC.
What is the prediction for Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC?
On our numbers Al Ittihad have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and El Gouna FC 29%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC?
Our predicted score is Al Ittihad 1–0 El Gouna FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC?
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandria Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
