Value bet: El Gouna FC to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSmouha SC to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.45
El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Smouha SC travel to face El Gouna FC on Monday 19 October in the Premier League, with El Gouna Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, El Gouna FC are 20th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 8 matches; Smouha SC are 9th (upper half) with 11.
Current form
El Gouna FC, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Ittihad, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Smouha SC, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ghazl El Mehalla, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Smouha SC, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for El Gouna FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Gouna FC 0.7 xG, Smouha SC 0.8 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Gouna FC 32%, draw 27%, Smouha SC 41%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: El Gouna FC to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Gouna FC 0–0 Smouha SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Gouna FC32%fair 3.12 · @3.70
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.60
Smouha SC41%fair 2.47 · @2.30
1.50Expected goals
0.68El Gouna FC xG
0.82Smouha SC xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
0–118%
1–015%
1–112%
0–28%
2–05%
From our goals model: El Gouna FC 0.7 – 0.8 Smouha SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Smouha SC to win✓
41%
2.47
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.55
Draw no bet
Smouha SC (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
El Gouna FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Smouha SC to score first✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.45
–
Recent results
El Gouna FC – last 6
LLLLLD
13 Oct
@ Al Ittihad
1–2
L
8 Oct
@ El Mokawloon
0–2
L
16 Sep
vs Petrojet
1–2
L
9 Sep
@ Pyramids FC
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs El Mokawloon
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Olympic El Qanah
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Smouha SC – last 6
WWLLDL
12 Oct
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–0
W
14 Sep
@ El Geish
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs Ceramica Cleopatra
0–2
L
3 Sep
@ Al Ahly
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Asyut Petrol
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ AL Masry
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Gouna FC and Smouha SC.
What is the prediction for El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
On our numbers El Gouna FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Smouha SC 41%.
How many goals will there be in El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
Our predicted score is El Gouna FC 0–0 Smouha SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at El Gouna Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
