Value bet: Al Ittihad to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Ittihad to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.50
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.57
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Ittihad travel to face Ghazl El Mehalla on Wednesday 21 October in the Premier League, with Ghazl El Mahalla Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ghazl El Mehalla are 17th, lower half, on 7 points after 8 matches; Al Ittihad are 5th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Ghazl El Mehalla, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Smouha SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Al Ittihad, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over El Gouna FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Al Ittihad, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Ghazl El Mehalla.
Head to head
When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Ghazl El Mehalla 1–0 Al Ittihad. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ghazl El Mehalla 1 win, Al Ittihad 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ghazl El Mehalla 0.9 xG, Al Ittihad 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ghazl El Mehalla 32%, draw 28%, Al Ittihad 40%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Al Ittihad to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 Al Ittihad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ghazl El Mehalla32%fair 3.15 · @2.90
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.45
Al Ittihad40%fair 2.50 · @2.90
1.92Expected goals
0.88Ghazl El Mehalla xG
1.04Al Ittihad xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ghazl El Mehalla 0.9 – 1.0 Al Ittihad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
On our numbers Ghazl El Mehalla have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Al Ittihad 40%.
How many goals will there be in Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
Our predicted score is Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 Al Ittihad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ghazl El Mahalla Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
