Value bet: Ghazl El Mehalla to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGhazl El Mehalla to win ✓42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.75
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Abu Qair Semad v Ghazl El Mehalla in the Premier League. In the table, Abu Qair Semad are 19th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 8 matches; Ghazl El Mehalla are 17th (lower half) with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Abu Qair Semad, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AL Masry, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Ghazl El Mehalla, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al Ittihad, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ghazl El Mehalla, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Abu Qair Semad.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Oct 2026) it ended Ghazl El Mehalla 1–1 Abu Qair Semad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Abu Qair Semad 0.9 xG, Ghazl El Mehalla 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Abu Qair Semad 32%, draw 27%, Ghazl El Mehalla 42%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Ghazl El Mehalla to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Abu Qair Semad 0–1 Ghazl El Mehalla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Abu Qair Semad32%fair 3.15 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.62
Ghazl El Mehalla42%fair 2.40 · @2.70
2.00Expected goals
0.91Abu Qair Semad xG
1.09Ghazl El Mehalla xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Abu Qair Semad 0.9 – 1.1 Ghazl El Mehalla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
On our numbers Abu Qair Semad have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ghazl El Mehalla 42%.
How many goals will there be in Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Our predicted score is Abu Qair Semad 0–1 Ghazl El Mehalla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
