Value bet: Metropolitanos FC to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMetropolitanos FC to win ✓48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.33
Metropolitanos FC vs UCV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the Primera División brings Metropolitanos FC against UCV at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Metropolitanos FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 5 matches; UCV are 10th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Metropolitanos FC, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo La Guaira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
UCV, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Monagas SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Metropolitanos FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for UCV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metropolitanos FC 1.7 xG, UCV 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metropolitanos FC 48%, draw 25%, UCV 27%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Metropolitanos FC to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metropolitanos FC 1–1 UCV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metropolitanos FC48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
UCV27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
2.78Expected goals
1.70Metropolitanos FC xG
1.08UCV xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Metropolitanos FC 1.7 – 1.1 UCV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metropolitanos FC to win✓
48%
2.07
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Draw no bet
Metropolitanos FC (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
UCV +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Metropolitanos FC to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metropolitanos FC / FT Metropolitanos FC✓
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Metropolitanos FC – last 6
WWLLDW
5 Aug
@ Deportivo La Guaira
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Puerto Cabello
2–1
W
31 May
vs Carabobo FC
1–5
L
17 May
vs Deportivo Tachira FC
0–1
L
12 May
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–1
D
9 May
vs Estudiantes de Merida FC
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UCV – last 6
WLLLWL
4 Aug
vs Monagas SC
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Santos
2–4
L
22 Jul
vs Santos
1–4
L
30 May
vs Portuguesa FC
2–3
L
27 May
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
19 May
@ Rosario Central
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metropolitanos FC and UCV.
What is the prediction for Metropolitanos FC vs UCV?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Metropolitanos FC vs UCV?
On our numbers Metropolitanos FC have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and UCV 27%.
How many goals will there be in Metropolitanos FC vs UCV?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metropolitanos FC vs UCV?
Our predicted score is Metropolitanos FC 1–1 UCV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Metropolitanos FC vs UCV?
Metropolitanos FC vs UCV (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
