Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✓66% · @1.36
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerro Porteno travel to face Resistencia on Thursday 27 August in the Copa Paraguay – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT.
Current form
Resistencia, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with SOL DE America, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cerro Porteno, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Olimpia, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Resistencia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Cerro Porteno.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Resistencia 0.8 xG, Cerro Porteno 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Resistencia 14%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 66%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Resistencia 0–2 Cerro Porteno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Resistencia14%fair 7.03 · @7.50
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.20
Cerro Porteno66%fair 1.52 · @1.36
2.87Expected goals
0.83Resistencia xG
2.04Cerro Porteno xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Resistencia 0.8 – 2.0 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win✓
66%
1.52
1.36
Double chance
Cerro Porteno or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Cerro Porteno (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Cerro Porteno -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Cerro Porteno to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Cerro Porteno ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Resistencia – last 6
DWDWWL
21 Aug
@ SOL DE America
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Deportivo Capiata
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ Independiente F.b.c.
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Tacuary
3–1
W
28 Jul
@ Atlético Tembetary
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Benjamín Aceval
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cerro Porteno – last 6
LLWDLW
23 Aug
@ Olimpia
1–2
L
19 Aug
vs Palmeiras
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–0
W
12 Aug
@ Palmeiras
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Sportivo Luqueno
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Resistencia and Cerro Porteno.
What is the prediction for Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Resistencia have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cerro Porteno 66%.
How many goals will there be in Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Resistencia 0–2 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?
Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno (Copa Paraguay) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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