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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Liverpool W v Sunderland W: numbers & prediction

WSL Cup · England · St Helens Stadium
4–2
FT
Liverpool W 70%Draw 21%Sunderland W 9% Expected goals 2.46 – 0.87
70%
Betarazi pick

Liverpool W to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultLiverpool W to win ✓70% · @1.28
Double chanceLiverpool W or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.21

Liverpool W vs Sunderland W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Wednesday 23 September: Liverpool W v Sunderland W in the WSL Cup, played at St Helens Stadium.

Current form

Liverpool W, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Manchester City W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Sunderland W, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Southampton W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sunderland W, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Liverpool W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool W 2.5 xG, Sunderland W 0.9 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 49% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool W 70%, draw 21%, Sunderland W 9%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Liverpool W to win (70%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool W 2–0 Sunderland W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Liverpool W70%fair 1.43 · @1.28
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @4.75
Sunderland W9%fair 11.25 · @8.00
3.32Expected goals
2.46Liverpool W xG
0.87Sunderland W xG
49%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–09%
3–18%
1–18%

From our goals model: Liverpool W 2.5 – 0.9 Sunderland W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLiverpool W to win ✓70%1.431.28
Double chanceLiverpool W or draw ✓91%1.101.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.98–
Draw no betLiverpool W (draw no bet) ✓89%1.13–
Asian handicapLiverpool W -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.74–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
First team to scoreLiverpool W to score first71%1.40–
Half-time resultLiverpool W ahead at half-time ✗53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Liverpool W / FT Liverpool W ✗49%2.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

Liverpool W – last 6

LDWLLL
18 Sep@ Manchester City W2–4L
13 Sepvs Tottenham Hotspur W1–1D
6 Sep@ Charlton Athletic W4–0W
10 Mayvs Brighton W2–3L
3 May@ Manchester City W0–1L
26 Aprvs West Ham W0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sunderland W – last 6

DWWLLD
20 Sepvs Southampton W0–0D
13 Sep@ Burnley W2–1W
6 Sepvs Bristol City W4–1W
26 Aprvs Crystal Palace W1–2L
1 Apr@ Birmingham City W0–1L
29 Marvs Newcastle United W1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Liverpool W and Sunderland W.

Liverpool W vs Sunderland W head-to-head page →

More WSL Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liverpool W vs Sunderland W?

Our pick is Liverpool W to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Liverpool W vs Sunderland W?

On our numbers Liverpool W have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sunderland W 9%.

How many goals will there be in Liverpool W vs Sunderland W?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool W vs Sunderland W?

Our predicted score is Liverpool W 2–0 Sunderland W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Liverpool W vs Sunderland W?

Liverpool W vs Sunderland W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at St Helens Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.