Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultSarriana to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.81
Alondras vs Sarriana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alondras welcome Sarriana for a Tercera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 20 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, Alondras are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Sarriana are 2nd (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Alondras, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Antela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Sarriana, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Viveiro, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alondras 1.9 xG, Sarriana 2.1 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alondras 33%, draw 23%, Sarriana 44%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alondras 1–2 Sarriana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alondras33%fair 3.04 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Sarriana44%fair 2.28 · @2.40
4.00Expected goals
1.86Alondras xG
2.14Sarriana xG
62%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Alondras 1.9 – 2.1 Sarriana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarriana to win✗
44%
2.28
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Sarriana (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Alondras +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Sarriana to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Sarriana ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarriana / FT Sarriana✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.81
–
Recent results
Alondras – last 6
WLDWLD
13 Sep
@ Antela
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Pontevedra II
2–6
L
12 Apr
vs Silva
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Celtiga
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Somozas
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Cambados
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarriana – last 6
WWLLDW
13 Sep
vs Viveiro
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Estradense
3–1
W
3 May
vs Racing Santander II
3–4
L
26 Apr
@ Atlético Astorga
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Numancia
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Salamanca UDS
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alondras and Sarriana.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Alondras vs Sarriana?
On our numbers Alondras have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarriana 44%.
How many goals will there be in Alondras vs Sarriana?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alondras vs Sarriana?
Our predicted score is Alondras 1–2 Sarriana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Alondras vs Sarriana?
Alondras vs Sarriana (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
