Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Estradense to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstradense to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEstradense or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Celtiga vs Estradense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estradense travel to face Celtiga on Sunday 27 September in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Celtiga are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Estradense are 7th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Celtiga, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Villalbés, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Estradense, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Coruña, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Estradense, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Celtiga.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Feb 2026) it ended Celtiga 2–1 Estradense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celtiga 1.0 xG, Estradense 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celtiga 16%, draw 23%, Estradense 61%.
Lower-risk option: Estradense or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Estradense to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Estradense or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celtiga 1–2 Estradense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celtiga16%fair 6.22 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Estradense61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
3.17Expected goals
1.04Celtiga xG
2.13Estradense xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Celtiga 1.0 – 2.1 Estradense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Estradense or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Celtiga vs Estradense?
On our numbers Celtiga have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estradense 61%.
How many goals will there be in Celtiga vs Estradense?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celtiga vs Estradense?
Our predicted score is Celtiga 1–2 Estradense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Celtiga vs Estradense?
Celtiga vs Estradense (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
