Sarriana 61%Draw 24%Celta de Vigo III 14%Expected goals 1.75 – 0.72
61%
Betarazi pick
Sarriana to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultSarriana to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceSarriana or draw ✓86% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.78
Sarriana vs Celta de Vigo III: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Sarriana v Celta de Vigo III in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Sarriana are 2nd, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Celta de Vigo III are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Sarriana, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Alondras, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Celta de Vigo III, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Antela, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarriana 1.8 xG, Celta de Vigo III 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarriana 61%, draw 24%, Celta de Vigo III 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sarriana to win (61%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarriana 1–0 Celta de Vigo III. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarriana61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.30
Celta de Vigo III14%fair 7.03 · @3.70
2.48Expected goals
1.75Sarriana xG
0.72Celta de Vigo III xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sarriana 1.8 – 0.7 Celta de Vigo III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarriana to win✓
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sarriana or draw✓
86%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Sarriana (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Sarriana -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Sarriana to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Sarriana ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarriana / FT Sarriana✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.78
–
Recent results
Sarriana – last 6
LWWLLD
20 Sep
@ Alondras
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Viveiro
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Estradense
3–1
W
3 May
vs Racing Santander II
3–4
L
26 Apr
@ Atlético Astorga
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Numancia
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo III – last 6
DWLLLW
20 Sep
vs Antela
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Pontevedra II
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Lalin
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Viveiro
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Compostela
1–5
L
19 Mar
vs Cambados
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarriana and Celta de Vigo III.
What is the prediction for Sarriana vs Celta de Vigo III?
Our pick is Sarriana to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sarriana vs Celta de Vigo III?
On our numbers Sarriana have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celta de Vigo III 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sarriana vs Celta de Vigo III?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarriana vs Celta de Vigo III?
Our predicted score is Sarriana 1–0 Celta de Vigo III, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sarriana vs Celta de Vigo III?
Sarriana vs Celta de Vigo III (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
