Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlondras to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceAlondras or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58% · @1.95
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Alondras vs Coruña: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 brings Alondras against Coruña. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Alondras are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Coruña are 16th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alondras, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Atlético Arteixo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Coruña, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Viveiro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alondras, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Coruña.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Alondras 3–2 Coruña.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alondras 2.4 xG, Coruña 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alondras 63%, draw 24%, Coruña 13%.
Lower-risk option: Alondras or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alondras to win (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alondras 2–1 Coruña. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alondras63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.40
Coruña13%fair 7.72 · @4.20
3.50Expected goals
2.40Alondras xG
1.10Coruña xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Alondras 2.4 – 1.1 Coruña expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Alondras to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Alondras vs Coruña?
On our numbers Alondras have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Coruña 13%.
How many goals will there be in Alondras vs Coruña?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alondras vs Coruña?
Our predicted score is Alondras 2–1 Coruña, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Alondras vs Coruña?
Alondras vs Coruña (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
