Estradense vs Boiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estradense welcome Boiro for a Tercera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 4 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Estradense are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Boiro are 1st (leading the league) with 23.
Current form
Estradense, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Celtiga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Boiro, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Villalbés, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Boiro, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Estradense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estradense 1.4 xG, Boiro 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estradense 35%, draw 24%, Boiro 41%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estradense 1–1 Boiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estradense35%fair 2.88 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Boiro41%fair 2.45 · @2.50
2.88Expected goals
1.37Estradense xG
1.51Boiro xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Estradense 1.4 – 1.5 Boiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boiro to win✗
41%
2.45
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Boiro (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Estradense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Boiro to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boiro / FT Boiro✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Estradense – last 6
LWDLLL
27 Sep
@ Celtiga
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Coruña
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Atlético Arteixo
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Sarriana
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Pontevedra
0–5
L
1 May
@ Compostela
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Boiro – last 6
DWWWLD
27 Sep
vs Villalbés
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Silva
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Celtiga
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Coruña
3–2
W
26 Apr
@ Arosa
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Villalbés
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estradense and Boiro.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Estradense vs Boiro?
On our numbers Estradense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Boiro 41%.
How many goals will there be in Estradense vs Boiro?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estradense vs Boiro?
Our predicted score is Estradense 1–1 Boiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Estradense vs Boiro?
Estradense vs Boiro (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
