Value bet: Celta de Vigo III to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCoruña to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Coruña vs Celta de Vigo III: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Coruña welcome Celta de Vigo III for a Tercera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 11 October (11:30 WAT). In the table, Coruña are 16th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 10 matches; Celta de Vigo III are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Coruña, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Alondras, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Celta de Vigo III, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atlético Arteixo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coruña 1.6 xG, Celta de Vigo III 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coruña 41%, draw 22%, Celta de Vigo III 37%.
Price worth noting: Celta de Vigo III to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coruña 2–1 Celta de Vigo III. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coruña41%fair 2.43 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Celta de Vigo III37%fair 2.70 · @3.00
3.06Expected goals
1.58Coruña xG
1.48Celta de Vigo III xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Coruña 1.6 – 1.5 Celta de Vigo III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coruña to win✓
41%
2.43
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Coruña (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Celta de Vigo III +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
Coruña to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coruña / FT Coruña✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Coruña – last 6
WLLLLW
3 Oct
@ Alondras
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Viveiro
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Estradense
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Villalbés
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Boiro
2–3
L
10 May
vs Cambados
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo III – last 6
WLDWLL
4 Oct
vs Atlético Arteixo
3–2
W
26 Sep
@ Sarriana
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Antela
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Pontevedra II
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Lalin
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Viveiro
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coruña and Celta de Vigo III.
What is the prediction for Coruña vs Celta de Vigo III?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Coruña vs Celta de Vigo III?
On our numbers Coruña have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Celta de Vigo III 37%.
How many goals will there be in Coruña vs Celta de Vigo III?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coruña vs Celta de Vigo III?
Our predicted score is Coruña 2–1 Celta de Vigo III, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Coruña vs Celta de Vigo III?
Coruña vs Celta de Vigo III (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
