Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
Picks by market
ResultVillalbés to win ✗39% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.39
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.69
Villalbés vs Somozas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Villalbés v Somozas in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Villalbés are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Somozas are 13th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Villalbés, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Celta de Vigo III, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Somozas, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Boiro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Villalbés, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Somozas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villalbés 1.1 xG, Somozas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villalbés 39%, draw 26%, Somozas 35%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villalbés 1–1 Somozas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villalbés39%fair 2.57 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.75
Somozas35%fair 2.84 · @2.85
2.14Expected goals
1.10Villalbés xG
1.03Somozas xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Villalbés 1.1 – 1.0 Somozas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villalbés to win✗
39%
2.57
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.39
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.65
Draw no bet
Villalbés (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Somozas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.49
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Villalbés to score first✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villalbés / FT Villalbés✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.69
–
Recent results
Villalbés – last 6
WDDLDD
1 Nov
@ Celta de Vigo III
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Alondras
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Viveiro
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Estradense
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Silva
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Boiro
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Somozas – last 6
DDLDDL
1 Nov
vs Boiro
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Celtiga
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Coruña
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Atlético Arteixo
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Sarriana
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ Antela
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villalbés and Somozas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Villalbés vs Somozas?
On our numbers Villalbés have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Somozas 35%.
How many goals will there be in Villalbés vs Somozas?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villalbés vs Somozas?
Our predicted score is Villalbés 1–1 Somozas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Villalbés vs Somozas?
Villalbés vs Somozas (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
