Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: L'Entregu to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultL'Entregu to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceL'Entregu or draw ✓85% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
L'Entregu vs Colunga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: L'Entregu v Colunga in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2. In the table, L'Entregu are 17th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 10 matches; Colunga are 12th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
L'Entregu, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Caudal, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Colunga, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Covadonga, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Colunga, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for L'Entregu.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended L'Entregu 0–0 Colunga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give L'Entregu 2.1 xG, Colunga 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – L'Entregu 62%, draw 23%, Colunga 15%.
Lower-risk option: L'Entregu or draw (85%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: L'Entregu to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was L'Entregu or draw (85%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: L'Entregu 2–0 Colunga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
L'Entregu62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.30
Colunga15%fair 6.87 · @3.40
3.00Expected goals
2.07L'Entregu xG
0.93Colunga xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: L'Entregu 2.1 – 0.9 Colunga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is L'Entregu or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win L'Entregu vs Colunga?
On our numbers L'Entregu have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colunga 15%.
How many goals will there be in L'Entregu vs Colunga?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for L'Entregu vs Colunga?
Our predicted score is L'Entregu 2–0 Colunga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is L'Entregu vs Colunga?
L'Entregu vs Colunga (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.