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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gijón Industrial v Astur: numbers & prediction

2–2
FT

Astur

DDLLL
Gijón Industrial 57%Draw 21%Astur 21% Expected goals 1.63 – 0.87
79%
Betarazi pick

Gijón Industrial or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGijón Industrial to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceGijón Industrial or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Gijón Industrial vs Astur: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Astur travel to face Gijón Industrial on Sunday 11 October in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Gijón Industrial are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Astur are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6.

Current form

Gijón Industrial, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Andes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Astur, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mosconia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Momentum favours Gijón Industrial, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.4 for Astur.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gijón Industrial 1.6 xG, Astur 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gijón Industrial 57%, draw 21%, Astur 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gijón Industrial or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gijón Industrial or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gijón Industrial 1–0 Astur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gijón Industrial57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.20
Astur21%fair 4.67 · @3.90
2.50Expected goals
1.63Gijón Industrial xG
0.87Astur xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Gijón Industrial 1.6 – 0.9 Astur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGijón Industrial to win ✗57%1.751.85 ▲
Double chanceGijón Industrial or draw ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.91 ▲
Draw no betGijón Industrial (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapAstur +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreGijón Industrial to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gijón Industrial / FT Gijón Industrial ✗34%2.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Gijón Industrial – last 6

WLDLWW
4 Oct@ Andes3–0W
27 Sepvs Condal1–2L
20 Sep@ Llanes2–2D
13 Sep@ Mosconia0–2L
6 Sepvs San Martín2–0W
26 Aprvs Ceares2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Astur – last 5

DDLLL
4 Octvs Mosconia0–0D
27 Sep@ San Martín2–2D
20 Sepvs Siero0–1L
13 Sep@ Colunga1–2L
6 Sepvs Caudal0–3L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gijón Industrial and Astur.

Gijón Industrial vs Astur head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Covadonga10721+1523
2Sporting Gijón II10631+821
3Lealtad10622+1020
4Condal10550+920
5Caudal10532+318
6Gijón Industrial10523+517
7Mosconia10442+216
8San Martín10433-115
9Praviano10424+614
10Langreo10334-212
11Siero10406-312
12Colunga10334-712
13Avilés Stadium10325-511
14Llanes10244-610
15Ceares10235-29
16Astur10064-66
17L'Entregu10127-135
18Andes10037-133

More Tercera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gijón Industrial vs Astur?

Our pick is Gijón Industrial or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Gijón Industrial vs Astur?

On our numbers Gijón Industrial have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Astur 21%.

How many goals will there be in Gijón Industrial vs Astur?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gijón Industrial vs Astur?

Our predicted score is Gijón Industrial 1–0 Astur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Gijón Industrial vs Astur?

Gijón Industrial vs Astur (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.