Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGijón Industrial to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceGijón Industrial or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Gijón Industrial vs Astur: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Astur travel to face Gijón Industrial on Sunday 11 October in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Gijón Industrial are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Astur are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Gijón Industrial, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Andes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Astur, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mosconia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Momentum favours Gijón Industrial, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.4 for Astur.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gijón Industrial 1.6 xG, Astur 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gijón Industrial 57%, draw 21%, Astur 21%.
Lower-risk option: Gijón Industrial or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gijón Industrial or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gijón Industrial 1–0 Astur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gijón Industrial57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.20
Astur21%fair 4.67 · @3.90
2.50Expected goals
1.63Gijón Industrial xG
0.87Astur xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Gijón Industrial 1.6 – 0.9 Astur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gijón Industrial to win✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Gijón Industrial or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Gijón Industrial (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Astur +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Gijón Industrial to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gijón Industrial / FT Gijón Industrial✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Gijón Industrial – last 6
WLDLWW
4 Oct
@ Andes
3–0
W
27 Sep
vs Condal
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Llanes
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Mosconia
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs San Martín
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Ceares
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Astur – last 5
DDLLL
4 Oct
vs Mosconia
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ San Martín
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Siero
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Colunga
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Caudal
0–3
L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gijón Industrial and Astur.
What is the prediction for Gijón Industrial vs Astur?
Our pick is Gijón Industrial or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gijón Industrial vs Astur?
On our numbers Gijón Industrial have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Astur 21%.
How many goals will there be in Gijón Industrial vs Astur?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gijón Industrial vs Astur?
Our predicted score is Gijón Industrial 1–0 Astur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gijón Industrial vs Astur?
Gijón Industrial vs Astur (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.