San Martín vs Lealtad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martín welcome Lealtad for a Tercera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 8 November (12:00 WAT). In the table, San Martín are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Lealtad are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
San Martín, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sporting Gijón II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Lealtad, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Siero, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martín 1.0 xG, Lealtad 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martín 27%, draw 23%, Lealtad 50%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.81.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martín 0–1 Lealtad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martín27%fair 3.65 · @3.34
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.14
Lealtad50%fair 2.00 · @1.98
2.44Expected goals
0.98San Martín xG
1.46Lealtad xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–09%
1–09%
From our goals model: San Martín 1.0 – 1.5 Lealtad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lealtad to win✓
50%
2.00
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.81
Draw no bet
Lealtad (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
San Martín +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Lealtad to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lealtad / FT Lealtad✓
29%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
San Martín – last 6
WWDWWD
31 Oct
@ Sporting Gijón II
2–0
W
25 Oct
vs Praviano
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ L'Entregu
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Covadonga
4–2
W
3 Oct
@ Ceares
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Astur
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lealtad – last 6
WWDWWD
31 Oct
vs Siero
3–0
W
25 Oct
@ Colunga
4–0
W
18 Oct
vs Caudal
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Langreo
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Avilés Stadium
2–0
W
27 Sep
vs Llanes
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martín and Lealtad.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win San Martín vs Lealtad?
On our numbers San Martín have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lealtad 50%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín vs Lealtad?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín vs Lealtad?
Our predicted score is San Martín 0–1 Lealtad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is San Martín vs Lealtad?
San Martín vs Lealtad (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
