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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Escobedo v Selaya: numbers & prediction

2–1
FT

Selaya

WLDWL
Escobedo 65%Draw 22%Selaya 13% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.56
65%
Betarazi pick

Escobedo to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultEscobedo to win ✓65% · @1.60
Double chanceEscobedo or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.50

Escobedo vs Selaya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Escobedo welcome Selaya for a Tercera División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Saturday 26 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Escobedo are 15th, lower half, on 7 points after 10 matches; Selaya are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Escobedo, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Laredo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Selaya, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atlético Albericia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Selaya 2–0 Escobedo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Escobedo 1.6 xG, Selaya 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Escobedo 65%, draw 22%, Selaya 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Escobedo to win (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Escobedo 1–0 Selaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Escobedo65%fair 1.54 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.60
Selaya13%fair 7.43 · @4.75
2.20Expected goals
1.64Escobedo xG
0.56Selaya xG
41%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Escobedo 1.6 – 0.6 Selaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEscobedo to win ✓65%1.541.60
Double chanceEscobedo or draw ✓87%1.161.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.70–
Draw no betEscobedo (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapEscobedo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreEscobedo to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Escobedo / FT Escobedo ✗39%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.50–

Recent results

Escobedo – last 6

LLDDWD
20 Sep@ Laredo0–2L
12 Sepvs Bezana0–3L
5 Sep@ Torina1–1D
17 Mayvs Laredo0–0D
26 Aprvs Vimenor2–0W
19 Apr@ Tropezón0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Selaya – last 6

WLDWLL
20 Sepvs Atlético Albericia1–0W
12 Sep@ Tropezón0–3L
6 Sepvs Castro0–0D
3 Aprvs Noja3–0W
29 Mar@ Castro1–3L
22 Marvs Cayón0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Selaya v Escobedo2–0
Escobedo vs Selaya head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tropezón10820+1626
2Cayón10721+1023
3Revilla10631+1121
4Bezana10631+921
5Vimenor10622+920
6Sámano10541+1419
7Laredo10613+1119
8Torina10370+716
9Atlético Mineros10415-613
10Solares10235-69
11Atlético Albericia10154-48
12Castro10226-68
13Guarnizo10226-88
14Barquereño10226-118
15Escobedo10145-97
16Selaya10217-127
17Velarde10136-126
18Naval Reinosa10136-136

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Escobedo vs Selaya?

Our pick is Escobedo to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Escobedo vs Selaya?

On our numbers Escobedo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Selaya 13%.

How many goals will there be in Escobedo vs Selaya?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Escobedo vs Selaya?

Our predicted score is Escobedo 1–0 Selaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Escobedo vs Selaya?

Escobedo vs Selaya (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.