Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 57% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTropezón to win ✓66% · @1.33
Double chanceTropezón or draw ✓89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Tropezón vs Revilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Tropezón v Revilla in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3. In the table, Tropezón are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 10 matches; Revilla are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Tropezón, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Solares, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Revilla, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Castro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tropezón, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Revilla.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Tropezón 3–1 Revilla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tropezón 2.3 xG, Revilla 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tropezón 66%, draw 23%, Revilla 11%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tropezón to win (66%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tropezón 2–0 Revilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tropezón66%fair 1.51 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.20
Revilla11%fair 9.23 · @8.50
3.17Expected goals
2.28Tropezón xG
0.89Revilla xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tropezón 2.3 – 0.9 Revilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Tropezón to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tropezón vs Revilla?
On our numbers Tropezón have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Revilla 11%.
How many goals will there be in Tropezón vs Revilla?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tropezón vs Revilla?
Our predicted score is Tropezón 2–0 Revilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Tropezón vs Revilla?
Tropezón vs Revilla (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
