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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Selaya v Cayón: numbers & prediction

Selaya

LLLWL
0–3
FT

Cayón

WWDWD
Selaya 24%Draw 23%Cayón 52% Expected goals 0.59 – 1.10
57%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultCayón to win ✓52% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.93

Selaya vs Cayón: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cayón travel to face Selaya on Friday 30 October in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3 – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Selaya are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Cayón are 2nd (among the top four) with 23. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Selaya, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Guarnizo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Cayón, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Laredo, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Cayón, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Selaya.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Selaya 0–2 Cayón.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Selaya 0.6 xG, Cayón 1.1 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Selaya 24%, draw 23%, Cayón 52%.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Selaya 0–1 Cayón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Selaya24%fair 4.10 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.00
Cayón52%fair 1.91 · @2.00
1.69Expected goals
0.59Selaya xG
1.10Cayón xG
43%Both score
24%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–120%
0–018%
1–112%
0–211%
1–011%
1–27%

From our goals model: Selaya 0.6 – 1.1 Cayón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCayón to win ✓52%1.912.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.741.85 ▲
Draw no betCayón (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapSelaya +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓50%1.99–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreCayón to score first ✓53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cayón / FT Cayón ✓27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20%4.93–

Recent results

Selaya – last 6

LLLWLW
25 Oct@ Guarnizo0–1L
18 Octvs Vimenor1–2L
11 Oct@ Barquereño0–1L
4 Octvs Naval Reinosa3–2W
26 Sep@ Escobedo1–2L
20 Sepvs Atlético Albericia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cayón – last 6

WWDWDW
25 Octvs Laredo1–0W
17 Oct@ Bezana2–0W
11 Octvs Torina0–0D
3 Oct@ Velarde1–0W
27 Sepvs Sámano1–1D
19 Sep@ Atlético Mineros2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Selaya v Cayón0–2
Selaya vs Cayón head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tropezón10820+1626
2Cayón10721+1023
3Revilla10631+1121
4Bezana10631+921
5Vimenor10622+920
6Sámano10541+1419
7Laredo10613+1119
8Torina10370+716
9Atlético Mineros10415-613
10Solares10235-69
11Atlético Albericia10154-48
12Castro10226-68
13Guarnizo10226-88
14Barquereño10226-118
15Escobedo10145-97
16Selaya10217-127
17Velarde10136-126
18Naval Reinosa10136-136

More Tercera División RFEF Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Selaya vs Cayón?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Selaya vs Cayón?

On our numbers Selaya have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cayón 52%.

How many goals will there be in Selaya vs Cayón?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Selaya vs Cayón?

Our predicted score is Selaya 0–1 Cayón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Selaya vs Cayón?

Selaya vs Cayón (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.