Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Vimenor vs Castro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Vimenor v Castro in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3. In the table, Vimenor are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 10 matches; Castro are 12th (lower half) with 8. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vimenor, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Revilla, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Castro, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Barquereño, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vimenor, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Castro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vimenor 1.9 xG, Castro 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vimenor 67%, draw 19%, Castro 14%.
Lower-risk option: Vimenor or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.82.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vimenor 1–0 Castro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vimenor67%fair 1.48 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.85
Castro14%fair 7.37 · @5.10
2.55Expected goals
1.88Vimenor xG
0.67Castro xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Vimenor 1.9 – 0.7 Castro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vimenor to win✓
67%
1.48
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Vimenor or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.82
Draw no bet
Vimenor (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Vimenor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.13
First team to score
Vimenor to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Vimenor ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vimenor / FT Vimenor✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Recent results
Vimenor – last 6
DWWLLD
30 Oct
@ Revilla
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Solares
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Selaya
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Laredo
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Bezana
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Torina
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Castro – last 6
LLWLLL
31 Oct
vs Barquereño
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Naval Reinosa
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Escobedo
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Atlético Albericia
2–4
L
4 Oct
vs Tropezón
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Atlético Mineros
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vimenor and Castro.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Vimenor vs Castro?
On our numbers Vimenor have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Castro 14%.
How many goals will there be in Vimenor vs Castro?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vimenor vs Castro?
Our predicted score is Vimenor 1–0 Castro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vimenor vs Castro?
Vimenor vs Castro (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
