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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vilassar Mar v Badalona: numbers & prediction

0–2
FT
Vilassar Mar 31%Draw 25%Badalona 44% Expected goals 0.88 – 1.12
50%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultBadalona to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.35

Vilassar Mar vs Badalona: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vilassar Mar welcome Badalona for a Tercera División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 20 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, Vilassar Mar are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Badalona are 3rd (among the top four) with 17.

Current form

Vilassar Mar, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Juan Atletico de Montcada, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Badalona, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Montañesa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Vilassar Mar, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Badalona.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Badalona 0–0 Vilassar Mar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vilassar Mar 0.9 xG, Badalona 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vilassar Mar 31%, draw 25%, Badalona 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vilassar Mar 1–1 Badalona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vilassar Mar31%fair 3.21 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
Badalona44%fair 2.27 · @2.15
2.00Expected goals
0.88Vilassar Mar xG
1.12Badalona xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%

From our goals model: Vilassar Mar 0.9 – 1.1 Badalona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBadalona to win ✓44%2.272.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.991.91
Draw no betBadalona (draw no bet) ✓59%1.71–
Asian handicapVilassar Mar +1 (Asian handicap) ✗77%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreBadalona to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Badalona / FT Badalona ✓23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.35–

Recent results

Vilassar Mar – last 6

LWLLWW
12 Sep@ San Juan Atletico de Montcada1–2L
5 Sepvs Pobla Mafumet1–0W
30 Augvs Espanyol II0–2L
10 May@ Grama0–1L
3 Mayvs Tona3–1W
12 Apr@ L'Escala4–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Badalona – last 6

LLWLLW
12 Sepvs Montañesa0–1L
5 Sep@ Martinenc1–2L
7 Junvs Cornellà3–0W
31 May@ Cornellà1–4L
24 Mayvs L'Hospitalet1–3L
10 May@ Vic1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Badalona v Vilassar Mar0–0
Vilassar Mar vs Badalona head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilanova10541+319
2Europa II10523+817
3Badalona10523+617
4Montañesa10523+617
5Cerdanyola del Vallès10442+116
6L'Hospitalet10361+215
7Atlètic Lleida10433-115
8Tona10424-214
9Grama10343+613
10Pobla Mafumet10415013
11San Juan Atletico de Montcada10415-413
12Martinenc10334-112
13Vilassar Mar10334-412
14Cornellà10253+111
15Peralada10253011
16Mollerussa10325-211
17L'Escala10235-39
18San Cristóbal10226-168

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vilassar Mar vs Badalona?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Vilassar Mar vs Badalona?

On our numbers Vilassar Mar have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Badalona 44%.

How many goals will there be in Vilassar Mar vs Badalona?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vilassar Mar vs Badalona?

Our predicted score is Vilassar Mar 1–1 Badalona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Vilassar Mar vs Badalona?

Vilassar Mar vs Badalona (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.