Tona welcome Badalona for a Tercera División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Saturday 3 October (15:30 WAT). In the table, Tona are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Badalona are 3rd (among the top four) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tona, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Juan Atletico de Montcada, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Badalona, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over San Cristóbal, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Badalona, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Tona.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Badalona 0–0 Tona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tona 0.9 xG, Badalona 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tona 23%, draw 22%, Badalona 54%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tona 1–1 Badalona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tona23%fair 4.28 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.20
Badalona54%fair 1.85 · @1.95
2.38Expected goals
0.87Tona xG
1.51Badalona xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
0–09%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Tona 0.9 – 1.5 Badalona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Tona vs Badalona?
On our numbers Tona have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Badalona 54%.
How many goals will there be in Tona vs Badalona?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tona vs Badalona?
Our predicted score is Tona 1–1 Badalona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tona vs Badalona?
Tona vs Badalona (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
