Value bet: Montañesa to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMontañesa to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Martinenc vs Montañesa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Martinenc v Montañesa in the Tercera División RFEF Group 5. In the table, Martinenc are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Montañesa are 4th (among the top four) with 17.
Current form
Martinenc, last 4: LDDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to L'Escala, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Montañesa, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Europa II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Martinenc 1.3 xG, Montañesa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Martinenc 35%, draw 25%, Montañesa 40%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Montañesa to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Martinenc 1–1 Montañesa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Martinenc35%fair 2.88 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.75
Montañesa40%fair 2.49 · @2.70
2.75Expected goals
1.32Martinenc xG
1.43Montañesa xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Martinenc 1.3 – 1.4 Montañesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montañesa to win✗
40%
2.49
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Montañesa (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Martinenc +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Montañesa to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montañesa / FT Montañesa✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Martinenc – last 4
LDDW
27 Sep
@ L'Escala
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Europa II
3–3
D
13 Sep
@ Grama
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Badalona
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Montañesa – last 6
LWWWLL
27 Sep
@ Europa II
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Grama
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Badalona
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs San Juan Atletico de Montcada
3–0
W
10 May
@ Peralada
0–5
L
3 May
vs Vic
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Martinenc and Montañesa.
What is the prediction for Martinenc vs Montañesa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Martinenc vs Montañesa?
On our numbers Martinenc have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Montañesa 40%.
How many goals will there be in Martinenc vs Montañesa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Martinenc vs Montañesa?
Our predicted score is Martinenc 1–1 Montañesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Martinenc vs Montañesa?
Martinenc vs Montañesa (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
