Montañesa vs Tona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tona travel to face Montañesa on Sunday 8 November in the Tercera División RFEF Group 5 – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Montañesa are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 10 matches; Tona are 8th (upper half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Montañesa, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Cristóbal, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Tona, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Martinenc, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tona, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Montañesa.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Tona 0–0 Montañesa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montañesa 1.2 xG, Tona 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montañesa 44%, draw 23%, Tona 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.79.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montañesa 1–1 Tona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montañesa44%fair 2.29 · @2.13
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.05
Tona33%fair 3.00 · @3.08
2.25Expected goals
1.23Montañesa xG
1.02Tona xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Montañesa 1.2 – 1.0 Tona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montañesa vs Tona?
On our numbers Montañesa have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tona 33%.
How many goals will there be in Montañesa vs Tona?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montañesa vs Tona?
Our predicted score is Montañesa 1–1 Tona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Montañesa vs Tona?
Montañesa vs Tona (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
