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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Galapagar v Las Rozas: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT
Galapagar 35%Draw 23%Las Rozas 42% Expected goals 2.16 – 2.34
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultLas Rozas to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 15.20

Galapagar vs Las Rozas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Galapagar welcome Las Rozas for a Tercera División RFEF Group 7 fixture on Sunday 20 September (15:30 WAT). In the table, Galapagar are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Las Rozas are 3rd (among the top four) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Galapagar, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Real Aranjuez, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Las Rozas, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Leganés II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Galapagar 3–1 Las Rozas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Galapagar 2.2 xG, Las Rozas 2.3 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 83% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Galapagar 35%, draw 23%, Las Rozas 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Galapagar 2–2 Las Rozas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Galapagar35%fair 2.84 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Las Rozas42%fair 2.38 · @2.25
4.50Expected goals
2.16Galapagar xG
2.34Las Rozas xG
66%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
1–27%
2–16%
1–16%
2–36%
1–35%

From our goals model: Galapagar 2.2 – 2.3 Las Rozas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLas Rozas to win ✗42%2.382.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.67 ▲
Draw no betLas Rozas (draw no bet)54%1.84–
Asian handicapGalapagar +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
First team to scoreLas Rozas to score first51%1.94–
Half-time resultLas Rozas ahead at half-time ✗37%2.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Las Rozas / FT Las Rozas ✗27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%15.20–

Recent results

Galapagar – last 6

WDWWLL
12 Sep@ Real Aranjuez5–2W
6 Sepvs Pozuelo Alarcón1–1D
10 Mayvs Las Rozas3–1W
3 May@ AD Parla5–0W
26 Apr@ Unión Adarve1–3L
19 Aprvs Alcorcón II0–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Las Rozas – last 6

WWLDWW
13 Sepvs Leganés II3–2W
5 Sep@ Cala Pozuelo3–1W
7 Jun@ Trival Valderas1–3L
31 Mayvs Trival Valderas1–1D
24 May@ Torrejón3–0W
17 Mayvs Torrejón1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Galapagar v Las Rozas3–1
Galapagar vs Las Rozas head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 7 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Móstoles10721+1723
2Colonia Moscardó10460+1018
3Las Rozas10532+518
4Galapagar10532+518
5Cala Pozuelo10523+217
6Unión Adarve10442+416
7Leganés II10433+715
8Trival Valderas10361+315
9Pozuelo Alarcón10433-315
10Torrejón10424+714
11Fuenlabrada10343+113
12Parla Escuela10244-410
13Real Aranjuez10244-610
14Rayo Vallecano II10235-59
15RC Alcobendas10235-79
16Alcobendas Sport10145-47
17SS Reyes II10217-137
18Villanueva Pardillo10217-197

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Galapagar vs Las Rozas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Galapagar vs Las Rozas?

On our numbers Galapagar have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Las Rozas 42%.

How many goals will there be in Galapagar vs Las Rozas?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Galapagar vs Las Rozas?

Our predicted score is Galapagar 2–2 Las Rozas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is Galapagar vs Las Rozas?

Galapagar vs Las Rozas (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.