Real Aranjuez 19%Draw 26%Trival Valderas 56%Expected goals 0.89 – 1.70
81%
Betarazi pick
Trival Valderas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Trival Valderas to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTrival Valderas to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceTrival Valderas or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Real Aranjuez v Trival Valderas in the Tercera División RFEF Group 7. In the table, Real Aranjuez are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Trival Valderas are 8th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Real Aranjuez, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with RC Alcobendas, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.
Trival Valderas, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pozuelo Alarcón, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Trival Valderas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Real Aranjuez.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Aranjuez 0.9 xG, Trival Valderas 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Aranjuez 19%, draw 26%, Trival Valderas 56%.
Lower-risk option: Trival Valderas or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Trival Valderas to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Trival Valderas or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Aranjuez 0–1 Trival Valderas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Aranjuez19%fair 5.36 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.25
Trival Valderas56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
2.59Expected goals
0.89Real Aranjuez xG
1.70Trival Valderas xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Real Aranjuez 0.9 – 1.7 Trival Valderas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trival Valderas to win✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Trival Valderas or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Trival Valderas (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Real Aranjuez +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Trival Valderas to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trival Valderas / FT Trival Valderas✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.85
–
Recent results
Real Aranjuez – last 4
DLLL
20 Sep
@ RC Alcobendas
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Galapagar
2–5
L
6 Sep
@ Leganés II
0–2
L
2 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés III
1–6
L
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Trival Valderas – last 6
DDWLDW
20 Sep
vs Pozuelo Alarcón
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Parla Escuela
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Villanueva Pardillo
3–1
W
20 Jun
@ La Nucía
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs La Nucía
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Las Rozas
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Aranjuez and Trival Valderas.
What is the prediction for Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas?
Our pick is Trival Valderas or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas?
On our numbers Real Aranjuez have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Trival Valderas 56%.
How many goals will there be in Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas?
Our predicted score is Real Aranjuez 0–1 Trival Valderas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas?
Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
