Value bet: Unión Adarve to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFuenlabrada to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.91
Unión Adarve vs Fuenlabrada: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Unión Adarve welcome Fuenlabrada for a Tercera División RFEF Group 7 fixture on Sunday 27 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Unión Adarve are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Fuenlabrada are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Unión Adarve, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alcobendas Sport, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Fuenlabrada, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Torrejón, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Unión Adarve 1.2 xG, Fuenlabrada 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Unión Adarve 38%, draw 23%, Fuenlabrada 40%.
Price worth noting: Unión Adarve to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Unión Adarve 1–1 Fuenlabrada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Unión Adarve38%fair 2.65 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Fuenlabrada40%fair 2.51 · @2.20
2.38Expected goals
1.17Unión Adarve xG
1.21Fuenlabrada xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Unión Adarve 1.2 – 1.2 Fuenlabrada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fuenlabrada to win✗
40%
2.51
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Fuenlabrada (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Unión Adarve +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Fuenlabrada to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fuenlabrada / FT Fuenlabrada✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.91
–
Recent results
Unión Adarve – last 6
DDWLDW
19 Sep
@ Alcobendas Sport
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Colonia Moscardó
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ SS Reyes II
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Marchamalo
0–2
L
27 Aug
vs Getafe II
2–2
D
10 May
vs Racing Madrid
5–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fuenlabrada – last 6
WLDLDW
19 Sep
vs Torrejón
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Móstoles
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Alcobendas Sport
0–0
D
3 May
@ Navalcarnero
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Socuéllamos
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Unión Adarve and Fuenlabrada.
What is the prediction for Unión Adarve vs Fuenlabrada?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Unión Adarve vs Fuenlabrada?
On our numbers Unión Adarve have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fuenlabrada 40%.
How many goals will there be in Unión Adarve vs Fuenlabrada?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unión Adarve vs Fuenlabrada?
Our predicted score is Unión Adarve 1–1 Fuenlabrada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Unión Adarve vs Fuenlabrada?
Unión Adarve vs Fuenlabrada (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
