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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alcobendas Sport v Parla Escuela: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Alcobendas Sport 39%Draw 22%Parla Escuela 39% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.37
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Parla Escuela to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAlcobendas Sport to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03

Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Parla Escuela travel to face Alcobendas Sport on Saturday 3 October in the Tercera División RFEF Group 7 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Alcobendas Sport are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Parla Escuela are 12th (lower half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Alcobendas Sport, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Villanueva Pardillo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Parla Escuela, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Colonia Moscardó, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alcobendas Sport 1.4 xG, Parla Escuela 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alcobendas Sport 39%, draw 22%, Parla Escuela 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Parla Escuela to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcobendas Sport 1–1 Parla Escuela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alcobendas Sport39%fair 2.55 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Parla Escuela39%fair 2.55 · @2.80
2.75Expected goals
1.38Alcobendas Sport xG
1.37Parla Escuela xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%

From our goals model: Alcobendas Sport 1.4 – 1.4 Parla Escuela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlcobendas Sport to win ✓39%2.552.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.75
Draw no betAlcobendas Sport (draw no bet) ✓50%2.00–
Asian handicapParla Escuela +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreAlcobendas Sport to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alcobendas Sport / FT Alcobendas Sport ✗22%4.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.03–

Recent results

Alcobendas Sport – last 6

LDLDWL
27 Sep@ Villanueva Pardillo2–3L
19 Sepvs Unión Adarve1–1D
13 Sep@ Torrejón0–1L
5 Sepvs Fuenlabrada0–0D
10 May@ Leganés II2–1W
3 Mayvs Trival Valderas0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Parla Escuela – last 4

DWDL
27 Sepvs Colonia Moscardó2–2D
20 Sep@ SS Reyes II3–0W
13 Sepvs Trival Valderas0–0D
6 Sep@ RC Alcobendas2–5L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alcobendas Sport and Parla Escuela.

Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 7 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Móstoles10721+1723
2Colonia Moscardó10460+1018
3Las Rozas10532+518
4Galapagar10532+518
5Cala Pozuelo10523+217
6Unión Adarve10442+416
7Leganés II10433+715
8Trival Valderas10361+315
9Pozuelo Alarcón10433-315
10Torrejón10424+714
11Fuenlabrada10343+113
12Parla Escuela10244-410
13Real Aranjuez10244-610
14Rayo Vallecano II10235-59
15RC Alcobendas10235-79
16Alcobendas Sport10145-47
17SS Reyes II10217-137
18Villanueva Pardillo10217-197

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela?

On our numbers Alcobendas Sport have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Parla Escuela 39%.

How many goals will there be in Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela?

Our predicted score is Alcobendas Sport 1–1 Parla Escuela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela?

Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.