Value bet: Móstoles to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMóstoles to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceMóstoles or draw ✓81% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Parla Escuela vs Móstoles: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Tercera División RFEF Group 7 brings Parla Escuela against Móstoles. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Parla Escuela are 12th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Móstoles are 1st (leading the league) with 23. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Parla Escuela, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Villanueva Pardillo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Móstoles, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over RC Alcobendas, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Móstoles, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Parla Escuela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parla Escuela 1.0 xG, Móstoles 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parla Escuela 19%, draw 22%, Móstoles 59%.
Lower-risk option: Móstoles or draw (81%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.69.
Price worth noting: Móstoles to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parla Escuela 1–1 Móstoles. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parla Escuela19%fair 5.19 · @3.68
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.18
Móstoles59%fair 1.69 · @1.91
2.92Expected goals
1.00Parla Escuela xG
1.92Móstoles xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Parla Escuela 1.0 – 1.9 Móstoles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Móstoles to win✓
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Móstoles or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.69
Draw no bet
Móstoles (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Parla Escuela +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.29
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.07
First team to score
Móstoles to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Móstoles ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Móstoles / FT Móstoles✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Parla Escuela – last 6
WDLDLD
1 Nov
@ Villanueva Pardillo
4–1
W
25 Oct
vs Unión Adarve
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Torrejón
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Fuenlabrada
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Alcobendas Sport
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Colonia Moscardó
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Móstoles – last 6
WWWLDW
1 Nov
vs RC Alcobendas
5–1
W
25 Oct
@ Villanueva Pardillo
6–1
W
18 Oct
vs Galapagar
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Unión Adarve
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Leganés II
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Torrejón
1–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parla Escuela and Móstoles.
What is the prediction for Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
On our numbers Parla Escuela have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Móstoles 59%.
How many goals will there be in Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
Our predicted score is Parla Escuela 1–1 Móstoles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
Parla Escuela vs Móstoles (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
