Málaga II 61%Draw 20%Granada II 18%Expected goals 1.80 – 0.83
82%
Betarazi pick
Málaga II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Málaga II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMálaga II to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceMálaga II or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Málaga II vs Granada II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Granada II travel to face Málaga II on Saturday 3 October in the Tercera División RFEF Group 9 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Málaga II are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 10 matches; Granada II are 10th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Málaga II, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atletico de Marbella, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Granada II, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cantoria, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Granada II, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Málaga II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Málaga II 1.8 xG, Granada II 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Málaga II 61%, draw 20%, Granada II 18%.
Lower-risk option: Málaga II or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Málaga II to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Málaga II or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Málaga II 1–0 Granada II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Málaga II61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.30
Granada II18%fair 5.53 · @3.70
2.63Expected goals
1.80Málaga II xG
0.83Granada II xG
45%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Málaga II 1.8 – 0.8 Granada II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Málaga II to win✓
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Málaga II or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Málaga II (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Málaga II -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Málaga II to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Málaga II ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Málaga II / FT Málaga II✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Recent results
Málaga II – last 6
WDWLDL
26 Sep
vs Atletico de Marbella
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Cantoria
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Atlético Porcuna
6–1
W
6 Sep
@ UD San Pedro
0–1
L
3 May
vs Melilla
3–3
D
26 Apr
@ Puente Genil
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Granada II – last 6
WLWDDW
27 Sep
vs Cantoria
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Atlético Porcuna
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs UD San Pedro
4–0
W
6 Sep
@ Alhaurino
0–0
D
10 May
vs Mijas Las Lagunas
4–4
D
3 May
@ Marbelli
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Málaga II and Granada II.
What is the prediction for Málaga II vs Granada II?
Our pick is Málaga II or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Málaga II vs Granada II?
On our numbers Málaga II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Granada II 18%.
How many goals will there be in Málaga II vs Granada II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Málaga II vs Granada II?
Our predicted score is Málaga II 1–0 Granada II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Málaga II vs Granada II?
Málaga II vs Granada II (Tercera División RFEF Group 9) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
