Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Almería II vs Málaga II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Tercera División RFEF Group 9 brings Almería II against Málaga II. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Almería II are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Málaga II are 5th (upper half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Almería II, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cantoria, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Málaga II, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Granada II, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almería II 1.5 xG, Málaga II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almería II 47%, draw 22%, Málaga II 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almería II 1–1 Málaga II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almería II47%fair 2.14 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Málaga II31%fair 3.23 · @3.30
2.61Expected goals
1.47Almería II xG
1.14Málaga II xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Almería II 1.5 – 1.1 Málaga II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almería II to win✓
47%
2.14
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Almería II (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Málaga II +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Almería II to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almería II / FT Almería II✓
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.22
–
Recent results
Almería II – last 6
DWLWWL
4 Oct
@ Cantoria
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Atlético Porcuna
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ UD San Pedro
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Alhaurino
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Malaga City
2–1
W
3 May
@ Águilas
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Málaga II – last 6
WWDWLD
3 Oct
vs Granada II
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Atletico de Marbella
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Cantoria
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Atlético Porcuna
6–1
W
6 Sep
@ UD San Pedro
0–1
L
3 May
vs Melilla
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almería II and Málaga II.
What is the prediction for Almería II vs Málaga II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Almería II vs Málaga II?
On our numbers Almería II have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Málaga II 31%.
How many goals will there be in Almería II vs Málaga II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almería II vs Málaga II?
Our predicted score is Almería II 1–1 Málaga II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Almería II vs Málaga II?
Almería II vs Málaga II (Tercera División RFEF Group 9) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
