Conil 38%Draw 23%Cádiz II 39%Expected goals 1.02 – 1.05
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultCádiz II to win ✓39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Conil vs Cádiz II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Conil welcome Cádiz II for a Tercera División RFEF Group 10 fixture on Sunday 20 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Conil are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Cádiz II are 13th (lower half) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Conil, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dos Hermanas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cádiz II, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dos Hermanas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Conil, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Cádiz II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Conil 1.0 xG, Cádiz II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Conil 38%, draw 23%, Cádiz II 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Conil 1–1 Cádiz II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Conil38%fair 2.63 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Cádiz II39%fair 2.56 · @2.62
2.07Expected goals
1.02Conil xG
1.05Cádiz II xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Conil 1.0 – 1.0 Cádiz II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cádiz II to win✓
39%
2.56
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Cádiz II (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Conil +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Cádiz II to score first✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.58
–
Recent results
Conil – last 6
WLWWLW
16 Sep
vs Dos Hermanas
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Utrera
0–2
L
9 Sep
@ Melilla
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Pozoblanco
1–0
W
10 May
@ Linense
0–2
L
3 May
vs Recreativo Huelva
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cádiz II – last 6
DDLWLW
13 Sep
vs Dos Hermanas
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Tomares
2–2
D
10 May
@ Tomares
1–2
L
3 May
vs Ciudad de Lucena
3–0
W
19 Apr
vs Sevilla III
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs Recreativo Huelva
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Conil and Cádiz II.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Conil vs Cádiz II?
On our numbers Conil have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cádiz II 39%.
How many goals will there be in Conil vs Cádiz II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Conil vs Cádiz II?
Our predicted score is Conil 1–1 Cádiz II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Conil vs Cádiz II?
Conil vs Cádiz II (Tercera División RFEF Group 10) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
