Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
2.05Odds
Picks by market
ResultPlatges Calvià to win ✓39% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Binissalem vs Platges Calvià: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Friday 18 September: Binissalem v Platges Calvià in the Tercera División RFEF Group 11. In the table, Binissalem are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Platges Calvià are 1st (leading the league) with 24.
Current form
Binissalem, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cardassar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Platges Calvià, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Manacor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Binissalem, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Platges Calvià.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Binissalem 1.6 xG, Platges Calvià 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Binissalem 35%, draw 26%, Platges Calvià 39%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Binissalem 1–1 Platges Calvià. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Binissalem35%fair 2.87 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.62
Platges Calvià39%fair 2.59 · @2.60
3.25Expected goals
1.58Binissalem xG
1.67Platges Calvià xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Binissalem 1.6 – 1.7 Platges Calvià expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Platges Calvià to win✓
39%
2.59
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Platges Calvià (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Binissalem +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Platges Calvià to score first✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Platges Calvià / FT Platges Calvià✓
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
Binissalem – last 6
LLWWDW
12 Sep
vs Cardassar
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Manacor
1–2
L
10 May
vs Son Cladera
2–0
W
3 May
@ Alcúdia
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Formentera
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Cardassar
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Platges Calvià – last 6
LLWWLL
12 Sep
vs Manacor
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1–2
L
3 May
vs Manacor
4–2
W
22 Apr
@ Felanitx
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Peña Deportiva
0–4
L
4 Mar
vs Formentera
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Binissalem and Platges Calvià.
What is the prediction for Binissalem vs Platges Calvià?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Binissalem vs Platges Calvià?
On our numbers Binissalem have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Platges Calvià 39%.
How many goals will there be in Binissalem vs Platges Calvià?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Binissalem vs Platges Calvià?
Our predicted score is Binissalem 1–1 Platges Calvià, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Binissalem vs Platges Calvià?
Binissalem vs Platges Calvià (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
