Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Constància vs Alcúdia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Constància welcome Alcúdia for a Tercera División RFEF Group 11 fixture on Saturday 26 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, Constància are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Alcúdia are 12th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Constància, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cardassar, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Alcúdia, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santanyí, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Constància, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Alcúdia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Constància 2.1 xG, Alcúdia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Constància 70%, draw 18%, Alcúdia 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Constància to win (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Constància 2–0 Alcúdia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Constància70%fair 1.44 · @1.42
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.50
Alcúdia12%fair 8.28 · @5.25
2.90Expected goals
2.15Constància xG
0.76Alcúdia xG
46%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Constància 2.1 – 0.8 Alcúdia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Constància to win✓
70%
1.44
1.42
Double chance
Constància or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Constància (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Constància -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Constància to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Constància ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Constància / FT Constància✓
46%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Constància – last 6
LDWLWW
20 Sep
@ Cardassar
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Santanyí
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Arenal
3–0
W
24 May
@ Peña Deportiva
1–2
L
10 May
vs Inter Ibiza
3–0
W
3 May
@ Rotlet Molinar
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alcúdia – last 6
LWWDLL
19 Sep
vs Santanyí
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Arenal
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Inter Ibiza
5–0
W
10 May
@ Mercadal
0–0
D
3 May
vs Binissalem
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs Rotlet Molinar
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Constància and Alcúdia.
Our pick is Constància to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Constància vs Alcúdia?
On our numbers Constància have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Alcúdia 12%.
How many goals will there be in Constància vs Alcúdia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Constància vs Alcúdia?
Our predicted score is Constància 2–0 Alcúdia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Constància vs Alcúdia?
Constància vs Alcúdia (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
