Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultPorreres to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chancePorreres or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Porreres vs Alcúdia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 28 October the Tercera División RFEF Group 11 brings Porreres against Alcúdia. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Porreres are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 10 matches; Alcúdia are 12th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Porreres, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Mercadal, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Alcúdia, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Llosetense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Porreres 2.1 xG, Alcúdia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 45% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Porreres 67%, draw 22%, Alcúdia 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Porreres to win (67%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Porreres 2–0 Alcúdia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Porreres67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.60
Alcúdia12%fair 8.47 · @4.75
2.93Expected goals
2.13Porreres xG
0.81Alcúdia xG
45%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Porreres 2.1 – 0.8 Alcúdia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Porreres to win✓
67%
1.50
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Porreres or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Porreres (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Porreres -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Porreres to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Porreres ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Porreres / FT Porreres✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Porreres – last 6
WLLWWL
24 Oct
@ Mercadal
5–1
W
10 Oct
@ Constància
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Santanyí
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Arenal
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Inter Ibiza
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Formentera
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alcúdia – last 6
WWLLLW
24 Oct
vs Llosetense
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Mercadal
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Cardassar
2–6
L
26 Sep
@ Constància
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Santanyí
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Arenal
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Porreres and Alcúdia.
Our pick is Porreres to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Porreres vs Alcúdia?
On our numbers Porreres have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alcúdia 12%.
How many goals will there be in Porreres vs Alcúdia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Porreres vs Alcúdia?
Our predicted score is Porreres 2–0 Alcúdia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Porreres vs Alcúdia?
Porreres vs Alcúdia (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
