Tenerife C 60%Draw 23%Villa Santa Brígida 17%Expected goals 2.15 – 1.10
83%
Betarazi pick
Tenerife C or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Tenerife C to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTenerife C to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceTenerife C or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tenerife C welcome Villa Santa Brígida for a Tercera División RFEF Group 12 fixture on Wednesday 21 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Tenerife C are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 9 matches; Villa Santa Brígida are 14th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Tenerife C, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over San Bartolomé, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Villa Santa Brígida, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to UD San Fernando, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Tenerife C, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Villa Santa Brígida.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tenerife C 2.2 xG, Villa Santa Brígida 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tenerife C 60%, draw 23%, Villa Santa Brígida 17%.
Lower-risk option: Tenerife C or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Tenerife C to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tenerife C or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tenerife C 2–1 Villa Santa Brígida. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tenerife C60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Villa Santa Brígida17%fair 5.88 · @3.50
3.25Expected goals
2.15Tenerife C xG
1.10Villa Santa Brígida xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Tenerife C 2.2 – 1.1 Villa Santa Brígida expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tenerife C to win✓
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Tenerife C or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Draw no bet
Tenerife C (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Tenerife C -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Tenerife C to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Tenerife C ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tenerife C / FT Tenerife C✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Tenerife C – last 6
WWLWDL
17 Oct
@ San Bartolomé
4–2
W
10 Oct
vs Villaverde Norte
4–1
W
3 Oct
@ San Miguel
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Anaza
3–2
W
19 Sep
@ Panadería Pulido
3–3
D
13 Sep
@ Mensajero
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Villa Santa Brígida – last 6
LDDWLD
17 Oct
@ UD San Fernando
0–4
L
9 Oct
vs Las Palmas III
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ San Bartolomé
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Villaverde Norte
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ San Miguel
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Anaza
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tenerife C and Villa Santa Brígida.
What is the prediction for Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida?
Our pick is Tenerife C or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida?
On our numbers Tenerife C have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Villa Santa Brígida 17%.
How many goals will there be in Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida?
Our predicted score is Tenerife C 2–1 Villa Santa Brígida, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida?
Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida (Tercera División RFEF Group 12) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
