Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Marino to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMarino to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceMarino or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 15.08
Marino vs Playas Sotavento: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Playas Sotavento travel to face Marino on Sunday 4 October in the Tercera División RFEF Group 12 – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Marino are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Playas Sotavento are 17th (in the drop zone) with 4.
Current form
Marino, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Laguna de Duero, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Playas Sotavento, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Los Llanos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marino 2.1 xG, Playas Sotavento 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marino 60%, draw 23%, Playas Sotavento 17%.
Lower-risk option: Marino or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Marino to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Marino or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marino 2–1 Playas Sotavento. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marino60%fair 1.65 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.50
Playas Sotavento17%fair 5.89 · @3.70
3.15Expected goals
2.10Marino xG
1.05Playas Sotavento xG
49%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Marino 2.1 – 1.0 Playas Sotavento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marino to win✓
60%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Marino or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Marino (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Marino -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Marino to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Marino ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marino / FT Marino✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
15.08
–
Recent results
Marino – last 6
DWLLLL
26 Sep
@ Laguna de Duero
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Real Unión de Tenerife
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Panadería Pulido
1–2
L
26 Jul
vs Tenerife
0–6
L
10 May
vs Arucas
1–2
L
1 May
@ Villa Santa Brígida
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Playas Sotavento – last 3
DLL
26 Sep
vs Los Llanos
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ UD San Fernando
0–5
L
12 Sep
vs Las Palmas III
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marino and Playas Sotavento.
What is the prediction for Marino vs Playas Sotavento?
Our pick is Marino or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Marino vs Playas Sotavento?
On our numbers Marino have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Playas Sotavento 17%.
How many goals will there be in Marino vs Playas Sotavento?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marino vs Playas Sotavento?
Our predicted score is Marino 2–1 Playas Sotavento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Marino vs Playas Sotavento?
Marino vs Playas Sotavento (Tercera División RFEF Group 12) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
