Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSantomera to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceSantomera or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Santomera vs Algar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santomera welcome Algar for a Tercera División RFEF Group 13 fixture on Sunday 20 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Santomera are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 9 matches; Algar are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Santomera, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Los Garres, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santomera 2.2 xG, Algar 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santomera 65%, draw 24%, Algar 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Santomera to win (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santomera 2–0 Algar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santomera65%fair 1.53 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.80
Algar11%fair 9.17 · @7.50
3.00Expected goals
2.16Santomera xG
0.84Algar xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Santomera 2.2 – 0.8 Algar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santomera to win✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Double chance
Santomera or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Santomera (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Santomera -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Santomera to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Santomera ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santomera / FT Santomera✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Santomera – last 6
DWWLLL
13 Sep
@ Los Garres
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs UCAM Murcia II
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs Torrellano
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Cieza
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ SFC Minerva
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs UCAM Murcia II
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Algar – last 2
LL
13 Sep
vs Bullas Deportivo
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Atlético Pulpileño
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santomera and Algar.
Our pick is Santomera to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Santomera vs Algar?
On our numbers Santomera have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Algar 11%.
How many goals will there be in Santomera vs Algar?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santomera vs Algar?
Our predicted score is Santomera 2–0 Algar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Santomera vs Algar?
Santomera vs Algar (Tercera División RFEF Group 13) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
