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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santomera v Mazarrón FC: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Santomera 61%Draw 21%Mazarrón FC 18% Expected goals 2.08 – 1.06
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSantomera to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chanceSantomera or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Santomera vs Mazarrón FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Santomera welcome Mazarrón FC for a Tercera División RFEF Group 13 fixture on Sunday 8 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Santomera are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 9 matches; Mazarrón FC are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Santomera, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Olímpico Totana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Mazarrón FC, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Bullas Deportivo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Santomera, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Mazarrón FC.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Mazarrón FC 5–0 Santomera.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santomera 2.1 xG, Mazarrón FC 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santomera 61%, draw 21%, Mazarrón FC 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santomera 2–1 Mazarrón FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santomera61%fair 1.65 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Mazarrón FC18%fair 5.44 · @4.45
3.15Expected goals
2.08Santomera xG
1.06Mazarrón FC xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Santomera 2.1 – 1.1 Mazarrón FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSantomera to win ✓61%1.651.62
Double chanceSantomera or draw ✓82%1.231.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.75
Draw no betSantomera (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapSantomera -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.10
First team to scoreSantomera to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultSantomera ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santomera / FT Santomera ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Santomera – last 6

WWWWWW
1 Nov@ Olímpico Totana3–1W
25 Octvs San Javier4–0W
10 Octvs Balsicas Atlético3–0W
4 Oct@ Atlético Pulpileño3–2W
27 Sep@ Bullas Deportivo2–1W
20 Sepvs Algar2–0W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Mazarrón FC – last 6

WLLLLD
1 Novvs Bullas Deportivo5–1W
25 Oct@ Algar1–2L
11 Oct@ UCAM Murcia II1–5L
4 Octvs SFC Minerva0–1L
27 Sep@ Unión Molinense2–3L
20 Sepvs Santa Cruz2–2D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Mazarrón FC v Santomera5–0
Santomera vs Mazarrón FC head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 13 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Santomera9810+1525
2Santa Cruz9531+618
3Águilas II9450+817
4San Javier9441+216
5UCAM Murcia II9432+815
6Unión Molinense9432+515
7Los Garres9423+314
8Bala Azul9342+213
9Balsicas Atlético9414-313
10Alcantarilla9333+312
11Olímpico Totana9324-111
12Atlético Pulpileño9324-111
13Cotillas CD9315-310
14Cartagena LU II9234-39
15SFC Minerva9225-78
16Algar9207-176
17Bullas Deportivo9126-115
18Mazarrón FC9117-64

More Tercera División RFEF Group 13 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santomera vs Mazarrón FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Santomera vs Mazarrón FC?

On our numbers Santomera have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mazarrón FC 18%.

How many goals will there be in Santomera vs Mazarrón FC?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santomera vs Mazarrón FC?

Our predicted score is Santomera 2–1 Mazarrón FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Santomera vs Mazarrón FC?

Santomera vs Mazarrón FC (Tercera División RFEF Group 13) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.