Valle Egüés vs Aoiz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valle Egüés welcome Aoiz for a Tercera División RFEF Group 15 fixture on Saturday 3 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, Valle Egüés are 4th, among the top four, on 16 points after 10 matches; Aoiz are 9th (upper half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Valle Egüés, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cantolagua, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Aoiz, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gazte Berriak, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valle Egüés 1.8 xG, Aoiz 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valle Egüés 57%, draw 20%, Aoiz 23%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Valle Egüés to win (57%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valle Egüés 1–0 Aoiz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valle Egüés57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.50
Aoiz23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
2.75Expected goals
1.76Valle Egüés xG
0.99Aoiz xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Valle Egüés 1.8 – 1.0 Aoiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valle Egüés to win✗
57%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Draw no bet
Valle Egüés (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Aoiz +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Valle Egüés to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valle Egüés / FT Valle Egüés✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Valle Egüés – last 6
WDLDWL
27 Sep
@ Cantolagua
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Mutilvera
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Subiza
2–5
L
5 Sep
vs Beti Onak
2–2
D
28 Aug
@ Beasain
3–2
W
26 Apr
@ Subiza
1–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aoiz – last 6
DDWDDD
26 Sep
vs Gazte Berriak
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Huarte
0–0
D
11 Sep
vs Doneztebe FT
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Pamplona
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Beti Kozkor
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Pamplona
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valle Egüés and Aoiz.
Our pick is Valle Egüés to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Valle Egüés vs Aoiz?
On our numbers Valle Egüés have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aoiz 23%.
How many goals will there be in Valle Egüés vs Aoiz?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valle Egüés vs Aoiz?
Our predicted score is Valle Egüés 1–0 Aoiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Valle Egüés vs Aoiz?
Valle Egüés vs Aoiz (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
