Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Cortes to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTxantrea to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02
Txantrea vs Cortes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 8 October the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 brings Txantrea against Cortes. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Txantrea are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Cortes are 17th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Txantrea, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Beti Kozkor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cortes, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Izarra, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Txantrea 1.3 xG, Cortes 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Txantrea 45%, draw 22%, Cortes 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Cortes to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Txantrea 1–1 Cortes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Txantrea45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Cortes33%fair 3.00 · @3.25
2.30Expected goals
1.27Txantrea xG
1.03Cortes xG
59%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Txantrea 1.3 – 1.0 Cortes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Txantrea to win✗
45%
2.22
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Draw no bet
Txantrea (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Cortes +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Txantrea to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Txantrea / FT Txantrea✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.02
–
Recent results
Txantrea – last 6
LDWDLL
3 Oct
@ Beti Kozkor
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Bidezarra
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ San Juan
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Cirbonero
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Avance Ezcabarte
0–4
L
2 Apr
vs Pamplona
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cortes – last 6
LDLWLD
3 Oct
vs Izarra
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Pamplona
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Beti Kozkor
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Bidezarra
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ San Juan
0–5
L
2 Apr
vs San Juan
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Txantrea and Cortes.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Txantrea vs Cortes?
On our numbers Txantrea have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cortes 33%.
How many goals will there be in Txantrea vs Cortes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Txantrea vs Cortes?
Our predicted score is Txantrea 1–1 Cortes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Txantrea vs Cortes?
Txantrea vs Cortes (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.