Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultSubiza to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceSubiza or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.12
Subiza vs Bidezarra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 brings Subiza against Bidezarra. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Subiza are 3rd, among the top four, on 16 points after 10 matches; Bidezarra are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Subiza, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Juan, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Bidezarra, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Beti Onak, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Subiza, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Bidezarra.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Bidezarra 1–0 Subiza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Subiza 2.2 xG, Bidezarra 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Subiza 63%, draw 23%, Bidezarra 14%.
Lower-risk option: Subiza or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Subiza to win (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Subiza 2–0 Bidezarra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Subiza63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Bidezarra14%fair 7.28 · @4.60
3.10Expected goals
2.16Subiza xG
0.94Bidezarra xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Subiza 2.2 – 0.9 Bidezarra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Subiza to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Subiza vs Bidezarra?
On our numbers Subiza have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bidezarra 14%.
How many goals will there be in Subiza vs Bidezarra?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Subiza vs Bidezarra?
Our predicted score is Subiza 2–0 Bidezarra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Subiza vs Bidezarra?
Subiza vs Bidezarra (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
