Value bet: Aoiz to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAoiz to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Bidezarra vs Aoiz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 30 October the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 brings Bidezarra against Aoiz. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Bidezarra are 18th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 10 matches; Aoiz are 9th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Bidezarra, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cantolagua, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Aoiz, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Juan, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Aoiz, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Bidezarra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bidezarra 0.9 xG, Aoiz 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bidezarra 31%, draw 24%, Aoiz 44%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Aoiz to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bidezarra 0–1 Aoiz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bidezarra31%fair 3.21 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Aoiz44%fair 2.25 · @2.45
2.06Expected goals
0.90Bidezarra xG
1.16Aoiz xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Bidezarra 0.9 – 1.2 Aoiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aoiz to win✗
44%
2.25
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Aoiz (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Bidezarra +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Aoiz to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aoiz / FT Aoiz✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.77
–
Recent results
Bidezarra – last 6
LLLDDL
25 Oct
@ Cantolagua
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Mutilvera
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Subiza
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Beti Onak
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Txantrea
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Izarra
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aoiz – last 6
DLLWDD
24 Oct
vs San Juan
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Cirbonero
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Avance Ezcabarte
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Valle Egüés
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Gazte Berriak
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Huarte
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bidezarra and Aoiz.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Bidezarra vs Aoiz?
On our numbers Bidezarra have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aoiz 44%.
How many goals will there be in Bidezarra vs Aoiz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bidezarra vs Aoiz?
Our predicted score is Bidezarra 0–1 Aoiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Bidezarra vs Aoiz?
Bidezarra vs Aoiz (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
