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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Subiza v Txantrea: numbers & prediction

Subiza

LWLWL
2–1
FT
Subiza 61%Draw 21%Txantrea 18% Expected goals 1.99 – 0.96
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.43Odds

Picks by market

ResultSubiza to win ✓61% · @1.60
Double chanceSubiza or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.05

Subiza vs Txantrea: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Subiza v Txantrea in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15. In the table, Subiza are 3rd, among the top four, on 16 points after 10 matches; Txantrea are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Subiza, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Izarra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Txantrea, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Beti Onak, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Subiza 2–2 Txantrea.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Subiza 2.0 xG, Txantrea 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Subiza 61%, draw 21%, Txantrea 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.61.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Subiza 1–0 Txantrea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Subiza61%fair 1.63 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.80
Txantrea18%fair 5.69 · @4.30
2.95Expected goals
1.99Subiza xG
0.96Txantrea xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Subiza 2.0 – 1.0 Txantrea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSubiza to win ✓61%1.631.60
Double chanceSubiza or draw ✓82%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.61
Draw no betSubiza (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapSubiza -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.551.43
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.14
First team to scoreSubiza to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultSubiza ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Subiza / FT Subiza ✓39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.05–

Recent results

Subiza – last 6

LWLWLW
31 Oct@ Izarra0–2L
25 Octvs Cortes3–1W
17 Oct@ Beti Kozkor1–2L
11 Octvs Bidezarra2–1W
3 Oct@ San Juan1–2L
27 Sepvs Cirbonero2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Txantrea – last 6

WWDDLD
31 Octvs Beti Onak2–1W
24 Octvs Pamplona5–1W
18 Oct@ Izarra0–0D
8 Octvs Cortes0–0D
3 Oct@ Beti Kozkor0–2L
26 Sepvs Bidezarra2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Subiza v Txantrea2–2
Subiza vs Txantrea head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 15 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Izarra10820+2226
2Mutilvera10640+1222
3Subiza10514+416
4Valle Egüés10442+316
5Beti Kozkor10514-116
6San Juan10433+715
7Gazte Berriak10433+215
8Avance Ezcabarte10424+414
9Aoiz10352+314
10Doneztebe FT10343+413
11Txantrea10343-113
12Cirbonero10334-412
13Cantolagua10406-1312
14Beti Onak10253-211
15Huarte10154-88
16Pamplona10145-87
17Cortes10136-146
18Bidezarra10055-105

More Tercera División RFEF Group 15 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Subiza vs Txantrea?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Subiza vs Txantrea?

On our numbers Subiza have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Txantrea 18%.

How many goals will there be in Subiza vs Txantrea?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Subiza vs Txantrea?

Our predicted score is Subiza 1–0 Txantrea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Subiza vs Txantrea?

Subiza vs Txantrea (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.