Binéfar vs Almudévar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:15 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Binéfar v Almudévar in the Tercera División RFEF Group 17. In the table, Binéfar are 9th, upper half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Almudévar are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Binéfar, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Real Zaragoza II, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Almudévar, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Andorra CF, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Binéfar, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Almudévar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Binéfar 1.8 xG, Almudévar 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Binéfar 58%, draw 23%, Almudévar 19%.
Lower-risk option: Binéfar or draw (81%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.84.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Binéfar 1–1 Almudévar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Binéfar58%fair 1.72 · @1.79
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.24
Almudévar19%fair 5.26 · @3.92
2.75Expected goals
1.82Binéfar xG
0.93Almudévar xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Binéfar 1.8 – 0.9 Almudévar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Binéfar to win✗
58%
1.72
1.79
Double chance
Binéfar or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.84 ▲
Draw no bet
Binéfar (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Almudévar +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Binéfar to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Binéfar ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Binéfar / FT Binéfar✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Binéfar – last 6
DDWLWD
1 Nov
@ Real Zaragoza II
3–3
D
25 Oct
vs Huesca II
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Atlético Monzón
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Fraga
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Robres
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Caspe
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Almudévar – last 6
WLDDLL
1 Nov
vs Andorra CF
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Real Zaragoza II
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs CD Sietamo
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Huesca II
0–0
D
4 Oct
vs Illueca
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Atlético Monzón
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Binéfar and Almudévar.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Binéfar vs Almudévar?
On our numbers Binéfar have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Almudévar 19%.
How many goals will there be in Binéfar vs Almudévar?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Binéfar vs Almudévar?
Our predicted score is Binéfar 1–1 Almudévar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Binéfar vs Almudévar?
Binéfar vs Almudévar (Tercera División RFEF Group 17) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
