Quintanar del Rey v Illescas Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultIllescas to win ✗43% · @2.62

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.30

Quintanar del Rey vs Illescas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Quintanar del Rey v Illescas in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18. In the table, Quintanar del Rey are 17th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Illescas are 6th (upper half) with 17.

Current form

Quintanar del Rey, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Villarrobledo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Illescas, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Socuéllamos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Quintanar del Rey 1.0 xG, Illescas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Quintanar del Rey 32%, draw 25%, Illescas 43%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Illescas to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quintanar del Rey 1–1 Illescas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Quintanar del Rey32%fair 3.09 · @2.62

Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80

Illescas43%fair 2.33 · @2.62

2.25Expected goals

1.02Quintanar del Rey xG

1.23Illescas xG

55%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–113%

1–011%

0–011%

1–28%

0–28%

From our goals model: Quintanar del Rey 1.0 – 1.2 Illescas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Illescas to win ✗	43%	2.33	2.62 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.33	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.83	1.95 ▲
Draw no bet	Illescas (draw no bet)	57%	1.76	–
Asian handicap	Quintanar del Rey +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.08	–
First team to score	Illescas to score first	49%	2.04	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Illescas / FT Illescas ✗	23%	4.26	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.30	–

Quintanar del Rey – last 6

DLWDWW

13 Sep	@ Villarrobledo	1–1	D
6 Sep	vs Toledo	2–4	L
3 May	@ Elche II	3–1	W
26 Apr	vs RSD Alcalá	0–0	D
19 Apr	@ Intercity	2–1	W
5 Apr	vs Fuenlabrada	1–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Illescas – last 6

DWLDWW

13 Sep	vs Socuéllamos	0–0	D
5 Sep	@ Tarancón	1–0	W
29 Aug	vs Pozuelo Alarcón	0–1	L
14 Aug	vs CF Talavera	1–1	D
5 Apr	@ Cazalegas	1–0	W
15 Mar	vs Marchamalo	2–1	W

0.8Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Tercera División RFEF Group 18 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manchego	10	8	0	2	+10	24
2	Toledo	10	7	1	2	+12	22
3	Villacañas	10	5	3	2	+9	18
4	CD Villa	10	6	0	4	+2	18
5	Villarrobledo	10	4	5	1	+6	17
6	Illescas	10	5	2	3	+1	17
7	Tarancón	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	San Clemente	10	4	3	3	+1	15
9	Noblejas	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Torrijos	10	4	2	4	-1	14
11	Villarrubia	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Almansa	10	3	3	4	+2	12
13	Marchamalo	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	La Solana	10	4	0	6	-2	12
15	Socuéllamos	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Huracán Balazote	10	2	1	7	-14	7
17	Quintanar del Rey	10	1	3	6	-8	6
18	Guadalajara II	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Quintanar del Rey vs Illescas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Quintanar del Rey vs Illescas?

On our numbers Quintanar del Rey have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Illescas 43%.

How many goals will there be in Quintanar del Rey vs Illescas?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Quintanar del Rey vs Illescas?

Our predicted score is Quintanar del Rey 1–1 Illescas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Quintanar del Rey vs Illescas?

Quintanar del Rey vs Illescas (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Quintanar del Rey v Illescas: numbers & prediction